Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Chelsea FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Manchester City FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Chelsea meet Manchester City in the FA Cup final, and Polymarket currently prices the contract at 0% YES, which on the Polygon market means no USDC is presently assigned to the conditional token for the win outcome. In practical terms, that leaves the market saying the event has either already settled against the thesis or is no longer trading with any meaningful probability left before the settlement window closes. For comparison, cup-final contracts usually only sit at zero when the result is effectively resolved; a live match with no update would normally retain some residual price until the outcome is confirmed on-chain.
Recent reporting from ESPN and Fox Sports shows Manchester City won 1-0, with Antoine Semenyo scoring in the 72nd minute and the match ending at Wembley. That matters because Polymarket settlement depends on the stated event outcome rather than broader form, so the key catalyst is not team news but whether the oracle and market resolution reflect the final score before the 14:00 UTC settlement cut-off. Sky Sports’ live match page also tracks the fixture as completed, which reinforces that any remaining uncertainty is administrative rather than sporting.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →