Market statistics
- Total volume
- $865K
- 24h volume
- $864K
- Liquidity
- $630K
- Open interest
- $514K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
62% | 38% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
62% | 38% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
#1
Game 1 Winner
▲ +50.9%
100%
Trade →
#2
O/U 2.5 Games
▲ +50.0%
100%
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#3
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#4
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#5
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#6
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#7
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#8
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#9
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#10
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#11
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#12
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#13
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#14
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?
100%
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#15
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
100%
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#16
Total Kills Over/Under 78.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#17
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
90%
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#18
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#19
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#20
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#21
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#22
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#23
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#24
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#25
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#26
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#27
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#28
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#29
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#30
Match Winner
▲ +13.0%
62%
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#31
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#32
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#33
Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#34
Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#35
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#36
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#37
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#38
Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#39
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#40
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#41
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
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#42
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +16.0%
50%
Trade →
#43
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▲ +22.5%
50%
Trade →
#44
Any Player Ultra Kill
▲ +20.0%
50%
Trade →
#45
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
Trade →
#46
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +16.0%
50%
Trade →
#47
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▲ +22.5%
50%
Trade →
#48
Any Player Ultra Kill
▲ +20.0%
50%
Trade →
#49
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
Trade →
#50
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +15.5%
50%
Trade →
#51
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▼ -2.0%
50%
Trade →
#52
Any Player Ultra Kill
▼ -4.5%
50%
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#53
Any Player Rampage
▼ -6.0%
50%
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#54
First Blood in Game 1?
50%
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#55
First Blood in Game 2?
50%
Trade →
#56
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#57
Total Kills Over/Under 88.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#58
Total Kills Over/Under 82.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#59
Total Kills Over/Under 83.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#60
Total Kills Over/Under 84.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#61
Total Kills Over/Under 89.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#62
Total Kills Over/Under 87.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#63
Total Kills Over/Under 86.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#64
Any Player Rampage
▲ +23.5%
49%
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#65
Any Player Rampage
▲ +25.5%
49%
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#66
Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?
10%
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#67
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?
10%
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#68
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
10%
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#69
Total Kills Over/Under 79.5 in Game 2?
10%
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#70
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#71
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#72
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#73
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#74
Game 2 Winner
▼ -49.5%
0%
Trade →
#75
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
▼ -18.9%
0%
Trade →
#76
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#77
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#78
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#79
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
0%
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#80
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#81
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#82
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#83
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#84
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#85
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#86
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#87
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#88
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#89
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#90
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
Market context
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and BetBoom Team in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolv
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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