Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is effectively pricing this contract at a full yes: 100% implied probability, which means the conditional token is trading as if Kolkata Knight Riders v Gujarat Titans has already been completed and resolved. The real-world fixture is the IPL match scheduled for 16 May 2026 at Eden Gardens, Kolkata, and resolution will follow the final result published by ESPNcricinfo. For users holding or buying on Polygon in USDC, the practical question is not whether the teams are known, but whether the contract can still be unsettled, delayed, abandoned, or otherwise altered before the settlement window closes on 23 May.

Comparable IPL markets at these levels often reflect event completion rather than certainty of the sporting outcome. KKR and GT have already met several times in the competition: GT beat KKR by 8 runs in 2022, KKR won by 3 wickets in Ahmedabad in 2023, and GT won by 5 wickets in Ahmedabad on 17 April 2026. That history matters less for price direction than for context on why a completed match is the key settlement trigger. When a cricket market is shown at 100% YES, traders are usually looking at the state of the contract mechanics, not pre-match odds.

The main catalysts are operational rather than sporting: whether the fixture has been played to a final result, whether any interruption leaves it officially abandoned, and whether ESPNcricinfo updates the match as final before the settlement deadline. NDTV’s live overview for Match 60 on 16 May showed KKR 247/2 after 20 overs with GT yet to complete the chase, which is consistent with a result being in hand if the scorecard is later finalised. In practice, the on-chain position only settles when the result matches the market definition and the oracle source confirms it.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.