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Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $558K Liquidity: $240K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.581%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.575%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.532%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.525%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic11%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: yibing wu vs novak djokovic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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