Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Al Ittihad’s home league meeting with Al Qadisiyah is priced at 0% YES on Polymarket, so the contract is effectively offering no on-chain probability that settlement will confirm the fixture as an unplayed future event. For a user holding or watching the USDC-denominated conditional token on Polygon, that usually means the market is trading on a stale or already-invalid setup rather than on the football itself. The settlement window ending at 2026-05-21T18:00:00Z matters here: if the match has already kicked off, been completed, or the event definition has been missed, the token can only resolve according to the contract terms, not the scoreline.

Historically, Al Ittihad have been the stronger side in this pairing, with AiScore showing 17 wins from 29 meetings since 2005 and nine draws, while Al Qadisiyah have only three wins in that sample. Recent head-to-heads have been more competitive, though: ESPN records Al Qadsiah’s 2-1 win over Al Ittihad in January 2026, and 365Scores lists another 2-1 result on 21 May 2026 in Saudi League context. That kind of mixed recent form helps explain why a live price can diverge sharply from long-run H2H numbers, but it does not change the fact that a 0% YES market is primarily a settlement question, not a form guide.

A trader should watch for the match status on official league feeds, club channels, and live-score providers, because the key catalyst is whether the game is confirmed within the market’s definition and time window. Fox Sports listed the fixture at King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah on 21 May, while FotMob and Sofascore both had live match pages for the tie. If there is any schedule change, abandonment, or mismatch between the listed fixture and the contract wording, that will matter more than team news, line-ups, or injuries for how the conditional tokens ultimately resolve.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.