Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

Platform comparison

Market context

Taylor Swift’s wedding to Travis Kelce is the real-world event driving this prediction market, where the current crowd-implied probability for any unlisted individual being a bridesmaid sits at just 1% YES. On Polymarket, this contract trades on USDC via the Polygon network, utilising conditional tokens that resolve to “Yes” only if the named person is officially announced as a bridesmaid, or “No” if the wedding is cancelled or fails to occur before the June 2027 settlement deadline.

Historically, celebrity wedding squads are tightly curated around long-standing best friends rather than casual acquaintances, making the 1% probability for an unconfirmed name plausible. Gigi Hadid and Selena Gomez are the only confirmed bridesmaids so far, with sources indicating Taylor asked them in late 2025 during private dinners in New York City[1]. While speculation suggests Abigail Anderson Berard and Ashley Avignone may join, an insider claims Taylor is avoiding formal bridesmaids entirely, opting instead for a close preparation group with Gigi and Selena[1].

Traders should monitor official announcements from Taylor’s representatives or credible entertainment outlets like *The Sun* and *Us Weekly* for any new names, as these are the primary catalysts for probability shifts[1]. The wedding schedule remains fluid, with six gowns prepared and the “Bridesmaid Dinner” now an established tradition, meaning any delay or cancellation would instantly resolve the market to “No”[7]. Until a formal announcement confirms a new bridesmaid, the on-chain price will likely remain suppressed, reflecting the high bar for inclusion in Swift’s inner circle.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.