Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this MrBeast 120-hour views contract at 0% YES, so the market is effectively saying the listed bracket is not expected to be the final resolution. On Polymarket, that means traders holding USDC on Polygon are positioning via conditional tokens against the view count reported on MrBeast’s own YouTube page when the 120-hour window closes. If the official count lands exactly on a bracket edge, the market resolves to the higher band, which matters when the view total is sitting near a threshold.
The clearest guide is how MrBeast videos typically front-load views: a large share arrives in the first day, then the curve slows sharply over the next four days. Social Blade and vidIQ both show his channel still operates at very high scale, with recent monthly view totals in the billions, but day-five outcomes are usually driven more by retention after launch than by channel-average momentum. Comparable markets on high-profile creator uploads tend to compress towards the most plausible mid-range bracket once the first 24–48 hours are in, especially when the upload has already cleared a large initial audience quickly.
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: the upload time, any follow-up post from MrBeast or his team, and whether the video is being pushed through Shorts, collabs, or external social promotion. YouTube’s recommendation behaviour also matters, as recent commentary in creator-analytics coverage has pointed to broader view redistribution across more channels, which can soften late-stage growth on even the biggest accounts. The live source remains the MrBeast channel view counter, so the market will move only as that displayed number advances towards the 120-hour mark.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 5? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 5? on PolyGram
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