# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this MrBeast view-count contract at 0% for YES, with the market effectively saying the tracked video is not expected to land in the specified bracket once the first 96 hours are counted. On Polymarket, that view is expressed through USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon, so the live price reflects what traders are willing to pay for the outcome defined by the YouTube counter rather than a separate estimate of long-term performance. Because the market resolves on the channel’s reported views for the named upload, the practical question is whether the day-four total finishes inside the bracket used for settlement, including the rule that an exact midpoint lands in the higher range.

Recent MrBeast view-count markets have shown how quickly expectations can shift as a video’s early trajectory becomes clearer. Lines has reported the Day 4 bracket market moving around the mid-range after a five-cent drop on 19 May, while Polymarket’s own book on a comparable view-range contract has, in recent snapshots, been heavily concentrated in a single upper bracket. That kind of clustering matters: when a creator’s uploads are being tracked in near real time, the market often prices in the acceleration from YouTube recommendation spread, but also the possibility that the early burst fades before the 96-hour mark. Historical patterns from MrBeast’s releases suggest that day-four totals can still be decisive even after a strong first-day start, because the final bracket is determined by the cumulative counter at a fixed deadline, not by momentum alone.

The main catalysts are simple and public: the upload time, any follow-up posts that drive traffic, and whether the video keeps surfacing in browse and suggested feeds over the next two days. Traders watching this market should check MrBeast’s channel page directly, since the resolution source is the live YouTube views counter on the specified video. Any upload timing change, title swap, or unusually strong external push can alter the first-96-hours trajectory, especially if the video title mentioned in the market is part of a broader launch sequence. The contract’s settlement window ends at 2026-05-20T00:00:00Z, so the only relevant data is the official channel count at the end of the 96-hour period.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 4? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.