LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The lower bracket quarterfinal between FlyQuest and Sentinels is scheduled for 30 May at 4:00 PM ET in the LCS Playoffs. The conditional token structure on Polygon currently reflects a 100% implied probability for FlyQuest, meaning traders are pricing in an overwhelming likelihood that FlyQuest advance. The USDC settlement mechanism means resolution hinges on whether FlyQuest secure a best-of-five victory, with the market settling to 50-50 only if the match is cancelled outright, ends in a tie, or remains unresolved beyond 7 June.

FlyQuest have historically been the stronger regular-season performer in the LCS, whilst Sentinels have struggled with consistency in recent splits. The 100% crowd probability suggests the market has already priced in FlyQuest's superior seeding position and recent form, leaving minimal perceived value in a Sentinels upset. Lower bracket matches in LCS playoffs do occasionally produce surprises, though the gap between these two rosters appears substantial enough to justify the current pricing.

Traders should monitor the official LCS schedule for any postponements or technical issues that could trigger the 7-day delay clause. Recent roster changes or injury announcements from either organisation could shift expectations, though neither team has signalled significant disruptions ahead of the match. The settlement window closes 31 May at 02:00 UTC, giving traders roughly 22 hours after the scheduled start time to adjust positions based on early match developments or scheduling changes.

Methodology

We track LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.