Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result

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Market context

On 25 June 2026, Curaçao lost 0–2 to Côte d’Ivoire in their FIFA World Cup Group E match at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with Nicolas Pépé scoring both goals [1][3]. The result confirmed Côte d’Ivoire’s historic progression to the knockout stages for the first time, while Curaçao finished the group with no wins [1][6].

This outcome mirrors recent World Cup cases where a 0–2 deficit at halftime proved insurmountable, especially when the stronger side controlled stoppage time and stoppages early. In comparable Group-stage matches, teams trailing 0–2 by the 45th minute rarely recovered to draw or win, particularly when the leading side secured second place and maintained tactical discipline [1][4]. The current 0% YES price for a Curaçao halftime win reflects this historical pattern and the decisive nature of Pépé’s double.

Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports for any stoppage-time adjustments or VAR decisions that could alter the recorded halftime score, though none are expected given the final 0–2 result [3]. With the settlement window closing on 25 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC, and the contract already settled on-chain via USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, no further catalysts will affect the outcome [1][2]. The market is now closed, and the result is final.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

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What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.