Tunisia vs. Japan - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **Tunisia vs Japan exact score** at **3% YES** on Polygon, with settlement in USDC through conditional tokens and the contract resolving only to the listed final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. That implies the crowd sees a very specific result as a long shot, with most liquidity effectively sitting in the catch-all *Any Other Score* bucket rather than one narrow outcome.

The market context is not a blank slate. Japan have had the stronger head-to-head record, winning three of the four meetings on record, while Tunisia’s lone win dates back to 2002; the most recent meeting, a 2-0 Japan win in October 2023, also points to Japan’s recent edge.[1][6] ESPN’s live match page shows Japan as the stronger side in pre-match pricing, with Tunisia offered at around +600, Japan at about -190 and the draw near +310, which is consistent with an exact-score contract staying low-probability unless the game script is unusually tight or lopsided.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are the final squad and fitness news, plus any late changes to line-ups or tournament logistics before kick-off. Reuters reported on 19 June that Japan drew 2-2 with the Netherlands in their opener while Tunisia lost 5-1 to Sweden, and also noted that the fixture is being framed by FIFA as the World Cup’s 1,000th match, a reminder that both sides arrive with fresh tournament data but different recent performance signals.[3] FIFA’s match-centre listing confirms the fixture and timing, while the market’s own settlement window extends only until completion, so a postponement would keep it open and a cancellation without a replay would drive a different resolution path.[8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Tunisia vs. Japan - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.