Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

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Market context

The FIFA World Cup Group G finale between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for 27 June at 03:00 UTC in Seattle, is the real-world event underpinning a prediction market where the "Over 13 total corners" contract currently trades at 0% probability on Polymarket. This pricing reflects a stark market consensus that the match will produce fewer than 13 corners, a threshold that sits well above typical World Cup group-stage averages.

Historically, matches between these two nations have been tightly contested and low in attacking output, with their most recent encounter in 2000 ending 1–1 and requiring penalties to decide the winner [3]. Even in their 15 June 2026 World Cup group match, which also ended 1–1, only 21 corners were awarded in total, but the number taken was significantly lower [6]. World Cup group games involving defensive teams like Iran often see fewer than 10 corners taken, and the 0% price suggests traders expect a continuation of this pattern, possibly influenced by referee Szymon Marciniak’s tendency to manage games tightly [5].

Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups for any surprise attacking shifts, as Iran’s defensive structure and Egypt’s clinical but measured approach could limit corner frequency [7]. The match’s status as a Group G finale with both teams already having secured points may reduce urgency, further suppressing corner counts [9]. While no recent news explicitly forecasts low corners, the 0% price aligns with broader betting odds favouring Under 2.5 goals and a draw, indicating a cautious tactical battle [2]. On-chain, the contract resolves via conditional tokens on Polygon using USDC, with corners taken—not awarded—counting for settlement [1][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.