Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 68% YES | 32% NO |
Market context
Team WE and LNG Esports will contest a best-of-five League of Legends match in the LPL Play-In tournament on 23 May at 02:00 ET. The conditional token pair on Polymarket currently prices Team WE's victory at 51%, reflecting near-parity between the two organisations. Settlement occurs at the scheduled match time, with a 7-day grace period for completion; cancellation or indefinite postponement triggers a 50-50 split of the USDC pool across both conditional tokens on Polygon.
Team WE has historically underperformed relative to LNG Esports in recent LPL seasons. LNG finished the 2024 regular season ranked higher and has maintained stronger domestic form throughout 2025, though both teams occupy the middle tier of the league. The 51% implied probability for Team WE suggests the market is pricing in either perceived undervaluation of the team or uncertainty about roster adjustments and recent scrim performance ahead of Play-In matches. Historical head-to-head records between these squads show competitive matchups without a dominant pattern, which explains the tight pricing.
Traders should monitor LPL official announcements regarding any schedule changes or roster confirmations in the week before 23 May. Recent roster moves and coaching staff changes within both organisations could shift preparation quality. The Play-In format itself carries inherent volatility—best-of-five matches are less prone to upsets than shorter formats, but individual player performance on the day and draft execution remain critical variables. Any injury reports or last-minute substitutions would materially affect conditional token valuations on Polygon.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →