Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this quarter-final at 0% YES, so the contract is effectively saying Team Orange Gaming have no live path left within the current settlement rules on Polygon, with USDC-backed conditional tokens already implying an E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win rather than an unresolved contest. The market is tied to the Prime League 1st Division Spring 2026 playoffs, and the real-world match was scheduled for 20 May, giving traders a narrow window to react only if the result was still pending before settlement.
For context, this is a best-of-five between two DACH-region sides in Riot’s Prime League 1st Division, the main ERL for Germany, Austria and Switzerland. Comparable quarter-final markets in esports tend to move sharply once a series starts, because a single map does not settle the contract and the token price usually tracks series momentum rather than pre-match reputations. Strafe’s match page shows the series ended 3-1 to E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, which is the kind of result that explains why a near-zero Polymarket price would be difficult to challenge once the bracket is complete.
The main catalysts now are administrative rather than competitive: whether the result is officially recorded by the organiser, whether there is any delay in the playoff update, and whether the market falls inside the settlement window ending 2026-05-20T21:00:00Z. Liquipedia lists TeamOrangeGaming in the Prime League 2026 Spring playoffs quarter-finals, while Sofascore and Strafe both indicate the match took place at 15:00 UTC. In practice, Polymarket traders watch for the official bracket confirmation, because on-chain resolution depends on the final verified outcome rather than live scoreline noise.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (B… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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