Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
T1 are playing Kiwoom DRX in an LCK Rounds 1-2 best-of-three, and Polymarket is pricing the T1 side at 100% YES. On the contract, that means the market is behaving as though a T1 win is fully locked in, with USDC holders on Polygon effectively valuing the conditional token outcome as certain unless the match is later voided by the rulebook. The market description matters here: if the series is not completed, is called off, or drifts beyond the seven-day resolution window without a winner, settlement can still flip to 50-50 regardless of the live scoreline.
The historical read is straightforward: when the crowd pushes an esports match to the ceiling, it usually reflects either a confirmed result, a near-certain structural edge, or stale pricing after the event has effectively been decided. Recent match listings and broadcast pages from SofaScore, Sheep Esports and Onivia all point to the same fixture window, and the published T1 line-up remains Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz and Keria, which is the sort of stable roster information traders tend to use to anchor expectations. In comparable LCK markets, the main risk is not competitive parity but a technical or administrative outcome that prevents a clean winner from being recorded.
What matters now is whether the scheduled series is actually completed within the settlement window. Traders should watch the official LCK schedule, team social channels, and any match-page updates for delay notices, server issues, or format changes, because a postponed start beyond seven days would force the contract away from a normal win/loss settlement. If the match begins and finishes as planned, the token outcome should follow the on-server result; if it does not, Polymarket’s conditional-token mechanics and the tournament rules become decisive.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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