Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Nongshim Red Force and KT Rolster were due to meet in the LCK Rounds 1-2 on 20 May, and Polymarket is currently pricing the match outcome contract at 0% YES for Nongshim on USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon. With the market still open inside the settlement window, that implies traders see no live path to a Nongshim win on the recorded result, even though the contract only resolves once the official match outcome is known. On Polymarket, the relevant question is not the broader team narrative but whether the listed fixture is completed and who is awarded the series.
Historically, this pairing has been competitive enough that head-to-head results can swing across a split, with recent Leaguepedia and esports history showing both teams have taken games off each other in LCK play. That matters for reading a zero-priced line: it usually reflects the state of the market and timing rather than a pure view on team quality. Comparable LCK match markets can move sharply on late roster confirmations, draft availability, or a series starting state, especially in best-of-three formats where a single map does not settle the contract.
The main catalysts now are simple: whether the fixture is played as scheduled, whether either side fields a changed roster, and whether the official result is posted before the settlement deadline. Sofascore and the LCK broadcast schedule are the quickest checks for live status, while recent video listings on YouTube confirm the match has been in the current week’s slate. If the game is postponed beyond the market’s seven-day rule, cancelled, or otherwise unresolved, Polymarket’s standard conditional-token rules can force a 50-50 outcome instead of a team win.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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