Market statistics
- Total volume
- $269K
- 24h volume
- $255K
- Liquidity
- $379K
- Open interest
- $212K
Available prediction outcomes (71)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
EDward Gaming faces Bilibili Gaming in a League of Legends lower bracket first-round match within the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 05:00 ET. The conditional token pricing on Polymarket currently values EDward Gaming's victory at 7 cents per share, implying roughly a 7% win probability. This reflects substantial market confidence in Bilibili Gaming, one of the LPL's historically stronger organisations, despite the lower bracket context where either team could theoretically advance.
Bilibili Gaming's recent performance and roster stability provide the primary foundation for the market's positioning. The organisation has consistently fielded competitive squads in LPL regular seasons, though lower bracket placement itself indicates both teams faced elimination scenarios in earlier stages. Historical LPL lower bracket matchups show that seeding and regular-season performance often correlate with playoff outcomes, though upsets occur when teams exploit meta shifts or opponent preparation gaps. EDward Gaming's presence in the lower bracket suggests they underperformed relative to pre-season expectations, a pattern that typically sustains through elimination rounds unless roster changes or coaching adjustments occur mid-tournament.
Traders monitoring this contract should track any roster announcements, coaching changes, or injury disclosures in the 48 hours before the scheduled match. LPL organisers occasionally reschedule matches due to technical issues or player availability, which would trigger the seven-day delay clause. Recent tournament formats have emphasised back-to-back lower bracket rounds, meaning both teams' performance in preceding matches and fatigue levels become material factors. Settlement occurs at 15:00 UTC on 3 June, with USDC settlement on Polygon conditional upon match completion and a decisive outcome.
Wikipedia Context
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Edward LowEdward Low, also known as Ned Low, was a pirate of English origin during the latter days of the Golden Age of Piracy, in the early 18th century. Low was born into poverty in Westminster, Middlesex, and was a thief from an early age. He moved to Boston, Massachusetts, as a young man. His wife died in childbirth in late 1719. Two years later, he became a pirat
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Lord Edward FitzGeraldLord Edward FitzGerald was an Irish aristocrat and revolutionary proponent of Irish independence from Britain. He abandoned his prospects as a distinguished veteran of British service in the American War of Independence, and as an Irish Parliamentarian, to embrace the cause in Ireland of Catholic-Protestant reconciliation and of a sovereign republic. Unable
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Lord Edward's crusadeLord Edward's Crusade, sometimes called the Ninth Crusade, was a military expedition to the Holy Land under the command of Edward Longshanks, later king of England, in 1271–1272. In practice an extension of the Eighth Crusade, it was the last of the Crusades to reach the Holy Land before the fall of Acre in 1291, which brought an end to the permanent crusade
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Lord Edward CecilLord Edward Herbert Gascoyne-Cecil, known as Lord Edward Cecil, was a distinguished and highly decorated English soldier. As colonial administrator in Egypt and advisor to the Liberal government, he helped to implement Army reforms.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.huya.com/lpl. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Pl… on PolyGram
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