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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Over 0% Under 100% Volume: $698K Liquidity: $764K Closes: 24 Jun 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legit? Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legit? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.

Active sub-markets

Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0% Over100% Under
First Blood in Game 1?10% MOUZ90% Inner Circle x Insanity
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0% Over100% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0% Over100% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0% Over100% Under
First Blood in Game 2?90% MOUZ10% Inner Circle x Insanity

Market context

The Dota 2 Lower Bracket round 1 clash between MOUZ and Inner Circle at The International Europe Closed Qualifier is set to begin at 08:00 GMT on 24 June 2026. This Best of 3 series determines which team advances in the playoffs, with MOUZ currently viewed as the clear favourite by external observers. Strafe users predict MOUZ to win with 74.2% of votes, while Inner Circle holds just 25.8% [1].

Historically, markets pricing a team at 0% YES before a match often signal either a severe data lag or a misunderstanding of the conditional token structure on Polymarket. In comparable qualifier cases, such extreme pricing has resolved to 50-50 when matches were delayed beyond seven days or cancelled, rather than reflecting a genuine zero probability of victory [3]. The current 0% figure likely stems from the contract’s USDC settlement on Polygon not yet incorporating live vote data, rather than an actual impossibility of MOUZ winning.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for schedule shifts or cancellations, as these are the primary catalysts for resolution to the 50-50 outcome. The match outcome is verified via DLTV and Gamers World, meaning any delay beyond 7 days from the scheduled date triggers the tie condition [3]. Recent updates from Egamersworld confirm the tournament schedule remains active, but traders must watch for real-time status changes on the official Liquipedia page for Inner Circle x Insanity to confirm if the match proceeds as planned [8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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