Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket’s USDC contract on Polygon is pricing Team Falcons v PARIVISION in the DreamLeague playoffs at 100% YES, which means the market is effectively locked on the Falcons side unless the event is invalidated by the rules. On Polymarket, that price reflects the current consensus on the conditional token rather than the underlying Dota 2 odds in isolation: if the Bo3 is completed with a winner, the token settles to the winning team; if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond the allowed window, it can still resolve 50-50. With the settlement window ending at 19:45 UTC, the key issue is not whether the fixture exists on the bracket, but whether it is played to completion inside the contract terms.
The historical backdrop is close head-to-head form. The sides met in DreamLeague Season 24 in November 2024, when PARIVISION beat Team Falcons 2-1 in a full series. More recent comparable listings also show the pairing recurring in elite DreamLeague play, including Season 27 records and current playoff coverage, which suggests this is a live, high-frequency matchup rather than a one-off. That matters for reading a 100% price: on-chain markets can become very one-sided when a match is already underway or when the public expects a result to be formal rather than contested, but the contract still carries event-risk if the series is postponed, abandoned, or ruled void.
For traders, the immediate catalysts are tournament scheduling and any official ESL or broadcast updates on whether the upper-bracket semi has started, been paused, or been moved. Gamereactor reported the Falcons v PARIVISION playoff tie in DreamLeague Season 29, while Sofascore listed the match start for 13:30 UTC, so the main watchpoint is whether the series is confirmed completed before the settlement cut-off. Any change to the bracket order, server issues, or a delay that pushes completion outside the seven-day rule could affect resolution even if one team is leading on maps.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →