Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
BetBoom Team’s lower-bracket meeting with Vici Gaming in DreamLeague Season 29 is priced at 100% YES on Polymarket, so the contract is trading as if a BetBoom win is a near-certainty. On-chain, that means USDC holders on Polygon are valuing the conditional token that resolves to BetBoom Team almost at full face value, with very little spread left for an upset or a market-wide correction. The market’s settlement clock matters here too: if the match is not finished, or if it is delayed beyond the allowed window without a winner, the outcome can still fall back to 50-50 under the contract rules.
Recent form and market context support the near-max price. BO3.gg listed BetBoom as coming in on strong momentum, citing a 73% win rate over the past month and a recent two-match winning streak, while GosuGamers had BetBoom ranked third in the world and Vici 18th ahead of the series. That gap is consistent with how similar DreamLeague playoff fixtures have been priced when a top-three team faces a lower-ranked opponent in a best-of-three: the favourite often trades close to certainty once line-ups and bracket context are known, especially when the match has already begun and live information confirms the stronger side is performing as expected.
The main catalysts are procedural rather than speculative: confirmation that the lower-bracket round has started on schedule, whether the series is completed within the settlement window, and any bracket or technical announcement from DreamLeague or the broadcast partners. The live listings on GosuGamers, BO3.gg and Hawk Live all pointed to the same BetBoom versus Vici playoff series on 20 May, which reduces schedule ambiguity, but traders still need to watch for pauses, server issues or a rematch decision that could change settlement. If the best-of-three completes normally, the contract should resolve to the match winner; if it does not, the fallback rules become relevant.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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