Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the TYLOO side at 0% YES, leaving the USDC-denominated conditional token effectively inactive unless the market is repriced before the settlement window closes. For users holding these Polygon-based contracts, the practical read is that the market is currently treating paiN as the only live outcome, despite the match being a best-of-three and still subject to line-up and scheduling risk. That kind of zero bid can reflect thin liquidity as much as conviction, so the key question is whether the contract is mispriced or merely ignored.

On the form line, paiN have the stronger broader profile: they are ranked higher in current public team listings and already have a recent head-to-head edge, having beaten TYLOO 2-1 at BLAST Rivals: Fall 2025. TYLOO, though, are capable of upsetting better-rated opponents in regionally mixed fields, and lower-bracket matches in these events often hinge on veto comfort and whether a team can force its preferred maps. The comparable lesson from past market behaviour is that low-probability tokens can jump quickly once a live bracket path, veto detail, or roster confirmation appears.

For traders, the main catalysts are the official CS Asia Championships bracket updates, any PGL schedule changes, and confirmation that the match is actually played within the settlement window. Search results today point to recent CS Asia Championships coverage and streams showing both teams on the event schedule, but the exact opponent sequencing and map pool still matter for a BO3. A delay, no-show, or match replacement would matter more here than usual because the contract settles on the outcome of the specific pairing, while unresolved disruptions can push it into the market’s 50-50 fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.