Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports have already completed their Lower bracket final match in the Super DraculaN Group A, with Inner Circle securing a decisive 2–1 victory on 25 June. The market, which currently prices at 0% for a Sashi win, reflects this settled outcome rather than an abstract probability, as the on-chain contract on Polymarket (using USDC on Polygon) resolves immediately once the conditional tokens confirm the result. With the settlement window ending 26 June, the contract is effectively locked, and no further price movement is expected beyond the final payout.

Historically, similar esports prediction markets where the underlying event has concluded show near-zero liquidity and immediate resolution, as traders recognise the outcome is no longer uncertain. In the previous encounter between these teams on 29 November 2025, Inner Circle also won 2–1, and Strafe users predicted an 82.8% chance of victory for them, mirroring today’s market sentiment [1]. This pattern confirms that once a match is played and recorded, conditional token markets like Polymarket do not sustain speculative trading, as the resolution is deterministic.

Traders should monitor official Liquipedia or CS2Live announcements for any rare post-match disputes or cancellations, though none are anticipated given the match’s completion [4]. The primary catalyst is the finalisation of the on-chain resolution, which depends on the oracle feeding the match result to the smart contract. With Inner Circle’s confirmed win and Sashi’s elimination, the market’s 0% price is a factual reflection of the event, not a speculative forecast [3]. No further action is required beyond awaiting the automatic payout.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.