Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this PARIVISION v Lynn Vision BO3 on Polygon at 100% YES, so the contract is effectively locked to a PARIVISION win unless the match is not completed within the settlement rules. For users holding the conditional token, the practical question is less about broad market opinion and more about whether there is any credible path to a no-result outcome before the 18:30 UTC window closes.
The cleanest comparison is with other lower-bracket or elimination-series CS2 matches where the favourite has been given a near-certain price because the bracket state leaves little room for ambiguity. Liquipedia lists PARIVISION in the CS Asia Championships 2026 Group B lower-bracket path, while dust2.us has also published tips and odds for the PARIVISION v Lynn Vision/NiP winner slot, which underlines that this is being treated as a normal knockout fixture rather than a speculative showpiece. With a 100% YES market, the remaining risk is usually operational: a walkover, a late schedule change, or a match starting but failing to finish.
Traders should watch the official tournament schedule, team social feeds, and any update from the broadcast desk or organiser on whether the match is still set to start as planned. The key dependency is whether this lower-bracket semi is played at all and completed within seven days of the scheduled date, because that determines whether the token settles to PARIVISION, Lynn Vision, or 50-50 under the market rules. If the series goes live on time, the price will have very little scope to move; if there is a delay or cancellation announcement, the settlement risk changes immediately.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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