Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is effectively pricing this Legacy v TYLOO BO3 at a certain Legacy win, with the contract sitting at 100% YES on the Legacy side and no apparent room left for a normal pre-match move. Because it resolves through conditional tokens on Polygon and settles in USDC, the practical question for traders is not price discovery but whether the match is played, completed, and officially recorded within the settlement window. If the fixture starts and finishes as scheduled, the market should be straightforward; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would instead push the contract to 50-50 under the stated rules.

The cleanest way to read that 100% print is by comparing it with how live esports brackets usually behave on Polymarket: once a match is confirmed, in-play certainty often reflects venue timing rather than team strength. Legacy and TYLOO are both established names in the Asian Counter-Strike circuit, and TYLOO’s presence as a domestic Chinese side matters because event logistics in Shanghai can reduce the chance of late travel or venue disruption. By contrast, if a team had roster or visa uncertainty, the market would usually price more cautiously.

The main catalysts are administrative rather than competitive: official start time changes, bracket reseeding, broadcast confirmation, and any organiser statement about delays at the CS Asia Championships in Shanghai. Recent listings and coverage, including the event’s YouTube schedule and field reports from the opening rounds, show the tournament is active and progressing through its Group A upper bracket. For a trader, the key dependency is whether the match sheet remains intact before the settlement cut-off; once the fixture is played to a result, the on-chain outcome should be deterministic.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.