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Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $241K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: Just Players (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-12.5) vs SAW (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.50%

Market context

The Lower Bracket round 2 match between Just Players and SAW at the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs has already concluded, with SAW defeating Just Players 2–1 in a contest played on 1 July 2026 at 13:45 UTC[1]. Despite the crowd-implied probability sitting at 100% YES for Just Players, the on-chain reality on Polymarket (using USDC on Polygon with conditional tokens) now reflects a settled outcome favouring SAW, meaning the contract will resolve to "SAW" rather than the expected winner[1]. This stark divergence between market sentiment and actual result mirrors historical cases where late-stage bracket matches in CS2 tournaments saw underdogs overturn heavy favourites, such as when lower-ranked teams in the 2024 ECL qualifiers secured unexpected victories against top-tier squads despite pre-match odds exceeding 90% for the favourites[2].

Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements for any post-match verification or potential disqualifications, though the match result is already confirmed as 2–1 to SAW[1]. The primary catalyst is the settlement window closing at 19:45 UTC on 1 July 2026, which will lock in the resolution based on the confirmed match outcome[1]. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms the final score and ranking details, noting Just Players’ #111 world ranking and their 3–2 win streak prior to this loss, which adds context to the upset[1]. No further delays or cancellations are anticipated, as the match was completed within the scheduled timeframe, ensuring the market resolves definitively to SAW[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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