Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Fake do Biru’s BO3 with paiN Academy is the live reference point for this Polymarket contract, and the contract is currently priced at 0% YES. On Polymarket, that means USDC in the relevant conditional token set is effectively valuing a Fake do Biru win as none of the market’s current consensus, despite the match being the stated settlement trigger if played and completed.

Comparable CCT South America meetings have tended to price strongly towards the more established side when line-ups and schedules are confirmed, even if the market later proves too one-sided. Earlier meeting data between these teams showed Fake do Biru favoured by bookmakers and winning 2-1 in April, which is a useful frame for reading the present market: zero-implied probability is more consistent with stale or mis-synchronised market data than with a genuine view that the match is impossible. In other words, the on-chain price is telling traders to check whether the contract is reflecting an old state rather than the live tournament position.

The main catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: official bracket status, whether the Round of 16 is still scheduled, and any sign of postponement, rescheduling, or walkover. Liquipedia’s CCT South America Series 3 listings show the event structure and ongoing scheduling updates for the circuit, while Dust2.us had the fixture listed for 22 May, which makes confirmation of the actual start time especially important. Under Polymarket’s rules, if the match is not played, ends level, or is pushed beyond seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; if it starts but is not completed, the settlement outcome depends on who is awarded the result.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.