Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Team Falcons at 100% YES on the BO3 against M80, so the contract is effectively pinned at par on the Polygon-settled USDC market. For traders, that means the current quote is less about disagreement over the winner and more about whether the match actually completes and settles cleanly under the contract terms, which use conditional tokens to pay out on the official result. The market is tied to the CS Asia Championships Group A upper-bracket semi-final, originally listed for 20 May at 6:00am ET.

The closest comparable read is Falcons’ prior result in the same event: they swept M80 to move into the upper final, with coverage from Skin.club describing a straight-set win. That kind of one-sided series often pushes event markets to the extremes, but 100% YES also leaves no visible room for late schedule changes, walkovers, or admin issues. Sofascore and Polymarket both list the fixture as a live or scheduled Group A match, which is the sort of confirmation traders usually check when a market has already fully converged.

What matters now is not map form but execution risk: whether the match starts and finishes within the settlement window ending 2026-05-20T16:40:00Z, and whether any official rescheduling, cancellation, or incomplete series creates a fallback to 50-50 under the rules. The main dependency is the tournament organiser’s published schedule and result feed, with HLTV or similar match reporting typically the reference point Polymarket uses for verification. For a contract already at 100%, any late change to the fixture is the only meaningful source of repricing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.