Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing 3DMAX vs Liquid at 56% for 3DMAX, with the contract settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens. The market is tied to the CS Asia Championships Group B lower-bracket quarter-final, a best-of-three scheduled for later on 20 May. On Polymarket, the move from 50-50 is usually read as a blend of match edge and execution risk: if the series starts on time and is completed, the token resolves to the actual winner; if it is not played, or is abandoned without a winner, the contract falls back to 50-50 under the market rules.

That pricing sits in a familiar range for this pairing. The two sides have already met in a BO3 this year, with 3DMAX beating Liquid 2-0 in ESL Pro League Stage 1 in March, despite Liquid being listed as the bookmakers’ favourite beforehand. More broadly, liquid names can carry a heavier pre-match price in the market, but recent head-to-head results matter when traders are marking a short-duration event like this one. A 56% read implies a modest favourite rather than a strong consensus, leaving room for the order of maps and veto shape to matter.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: confirmation that the series is played as scheduled, the published veto, and any late roster or stand-in news. Liquipedia lists CS Asia Championships 2026 as a GSL group stage with opening matches in BO1 and the rest BO3, so bracket context is fixed, but the exact timing can still shift with broadcast and venue scheduling. The market window closes on 21 May at 09:00 UTC, so any delay beyond the seven-day rule would force a 50-50 outcome rather than a team win.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.