Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Polymarket contract on 3DMAX defeating magic in their Upper bracket quarterfinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs is currently trading at 25 cents on the dollar, implying a three-to-one underdog position for 3DMAX. The match is scheduled for 27 May at 6:00 AM ET, with settlement contingent on a definitive result within seven days. Traders holding YES tokens (betting on 3DMAX) would receive USDC on Polygon conditional on the team advancing, whilst NO holders profit if magic progresses. The 75% crowd assessment of magic's chances reflects their positioning as favourites, though the relatively tight pricing suggests meaningful uncertainty about the outcome.

3DMAX's recent form provides context for reading this probability. The team has demonstrated inconsistent results in regional competition, with notable wins offset by losses to mid-tier opponents. Magic, conversely, has maintained steadier performance across recent tournaments, though neither team ranks among Counter-Strike's elite tier. Historical matchups between these squads show competitive series, with neither establishing clear dominance. The 25% YES price aligns with 3DMAX's underdog status without pricing them as prohibitive outsiders.

Traders should monitor official Stake tournament announcements for any schedule changes or roster confirmations closer to the fixture date. Technical delays or administrative issues have occasionally affected esports playoff scheduling, particularly in online-format tournaments. The seven-day resolution window provides buffer for rescheduling, though matches delayed beyond that trigger the 50-50 settlement clause. Confirmation of final rosters and any last-minute substitutions would be material to reassessing the current odds.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.