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Bitcoin above 2026 on June 10?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Bitcoin above 2026 on June 10?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Legit?.

85% YES 15% NO Volume: $116K Liquidity: $146K Closes: 10 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Legit? →
Bitcoin above 2026 on June 10?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legit? Pick
polygram.ink
 85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legit? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.

Active sub-markets

58,00085% YES15% NO
60,00072% YES28% NO
62,00058% YES42% NO
64,00041% YES59% NO
70,0006% YES95% NO
56,00090% YES10% NO

Market context

Bitcoin above 2026 on June 10? — current market-implied probability: 85%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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