Bitcoin price on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The final close price of the BTC/USDT pair on the Binance one-minute candle at noon Eastern Time on 24 June 2026 will determine this market’s outcome. If the price falls within a specific bracket, the contract resolves to “Yes”; otherwise, it resolves to “No”. Today, Polymarket prices this contract with a 0% implied probability for “Yes”, suggesting the crowd expects the price to land outside the target range.

Historically, Bitcoin has shown sharp intraday volatility around key support levels, often testing zones like $60,000 before correcting further. In the last 24 hours, BTC declined 4.40%, approaching the local support of $60,580, with bearish momentum persisting on the hourly chart [2]. If the drop continues, a test of the vital $60,000 zone is likely, potentially triggering a deeper correction to $56,500 if the breakout occurs [2]. Such patterns frame the current 0% probability as a reflection of sustained downward pressure rather than a random outlier.

Traders should monitor upcoming announcements from the US Federal Reserve, scheduled crypto ETF flows, and any sudden shifts in miner activity, all of which could alter short-term price direction. Recent data from Binance indicates BTC is trading at $60,753, with no reversal signals visible on the larger timeframe [2]. Additionally, the next Bitcoin halving is expected in 2028, meaning supply-side catalysts remain distant [4]. Until clearer bullish momentum emerges, the market’s low probability for “Yes” aligns with current technical weakness.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 24? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.