Bitcoin price on June 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 23 June 2026, at noon Eastern Time, the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candle will determine the outcome of this prediction market. If the price falls within a specific bracket, the market resolves to that range; otherwise, it resolves to "No". Today, Polymarket prices the contract with a 0% implied probability for the "Yes" outcome, yet the leading outcomes cluster tightly between £62,000 and £66,000, with "64,000–66,000" holding 47% and "62,000–64,000" at 46%[1]. This divergence suggests traders are betting on precise price ranges rather than a binary yes/no, reflecting how conditional tokens on Polygon (settled in USDC) capture granular market expectations.

Historically, Bitcoin has shown sharp intraday volatility around key dates, with June 2026 prices hovering near £64,000 as of recent data[3][4]. In June 2025, Bitcoin peaked at £126,198, but by June 2026, it had fallen approximately £33,500 from that level, indicating a sustained downtrend[2]. Such comparable cases frame the current 0% probability not as a prediction of collapse, but as a misalignment between the binary contract structure and the market’s nuanced price-range expectations.

Traders should monitor the Federal Reserve’s interest rate schedule and any upcoming Bitcoin ETF inflow announcements, as these catalysts directly influence short-term price action. Recent reports note Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume at £27.7B, with live prices fluctuating between £61,995 and £62,108[5][10]. The next halving event, expected in 2028, remains a long-term dependency, but immediate price movements will hinge on macroeconomic data releases and exchange-level liquidity shifts.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.